Construction Project Risk Analysis Based on Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (F-AHP): A Literature Review

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Department of Civil Engineering, Mercu Buana University, Jakarta, Indonesia

2 Industrial Engineering Department, Mercu Buana University, Jakarta, Indonesia

Abstract

In a construction project, it generally takes a long time and is complex in nature, giving rise to uncertainty which in turn leads to risks. The impact of risk can affect the cost, quality and timing of project implementation. At each stage of the project, various risks and uncertainties are inseparable. To reduce the adverse impact on the achievement of the functional objectives of a construction project, it is necessary to carry out a risk assessment. Risk is a logical combination of probability and impact and it is necessary to use fuzzy logic to model the inaccuracy and uncertainty of human thinking. This study aims to compare the results of Risk Assessment with the Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (F-AHP) method against the risk variables identified in the Risk Management Project. From 30 journals reviewed, it shows that technical risk is the biggest risk in a construction project.

Keywords

References

[1]-Prascevic, N., and Prascevic, Z., 2017, Application of Fuzzy AHP for Ranking and Selection of Alternatives in Construction Project Management, Journal of Civil Engineering and Management, 23(8), 1123–1135.
[2]- Askari, M., Shokrizadeh, H. R. Ghane, N., 2014, A Fuzzy AHP Model in Risk Ranking, European Journal of Business and Management, 6(14), 194–203.
[3]- Zavadskas, E. K., Zenonas, T., and Tamošaitiene, J., 2010, Risk Assessment of Construction Projects, Journal of Civil Engineering and Management, 16(1), 33–46.
[4]-Yucesan, M., and Kahraman, G., 2019, Risk Evaluation and Prevention in Hydropower Plant Operations: A Model Based on Pythagorean Fuzzy AHP, Energy Policy, 126, 343–351.
[5]-Li, J., and Patrick, X., Zou, W., 2011, Fuzzy AHP-Based Risk Assessment Methodology for PPP Projects, Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 137(12), 1205–1209.
[6]-Mangla, S. K., Pradeep, K., and Mukesh, K. B., 2015, Risk Analysis in Green Supply Chain Using Fuzzy AHP Approach: A Case Study, Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 104, 375–390.
[7]- Chitrasen, S., Datta, S., and Mahapatra, S. S., 2017, Fuzzy Based Risk Assessment Module for Metropolitan Construction Project: An Empirical Study, Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 65, 449–464.
[8]- Farman, A., Yunfei, S., Junaid, D., and Shehzad Hanif, M., 2020, Cost-Risk Contingency Framework for Managing Cost Overrun in Metropolitan Projects: Using Fuzzy-AHP and Simulation, International Journal of Managing Projects in Business, 13(5), 1121–1139.
[9]-Taylan, O., Abdallah O., Bafail, R., Abdulaal, M. S. and Kabli, M. R., 2014, Construction Projects Selection and Risk Assessment by Fuzzy AHP and Fuzzy TOPSIS Methodologies, Applied Soft Computing Journal, 17, 105–116.
[10]-Okudan, O., and Budayan, C., 2020, Assessment of Project Characteristics Affecting Risk Occurences in Construction Projects Using Fuzzy AHP, Sigma Journal of Engineering and Natural Science, 38(3), 1447-1462  
[11]- Aliahmadi, A., Sadjadi, S. J. and Jafari-Eskandari, M., 2011, Design a New Intelligence Expert Decision Making Using Game Theory and Fuzzy AHP to Risk Management in Design, Construction, and Operation of Tunnel Projects (Case Studies: Resalat Tunnel), International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology 53(5–8), 789–798.
[12]-Dikmen, I., Birgonul, M. T., and Han, S., 2007, Using Fuzzy Risk Assessment to Rate Cost Overrun Risk in International Construction Projects, International Journal of Project Management, 25(5), 494–505.
[13]-Tabatabaei Khodadadi, S. A., and Dean Kumar, B., 2013, Contractor selection with risk assessment by using AHP fuzzy method, International Journal of Advances in Engineering & Technology, 5(2), 311–318.
[14]-Mostafavi, Ali, and Karamouz, M., 2010, Selecting Appropriate Project Delivery System: Fuzzy Approach with Risk Analysis, journal of construction engineering, ASCE, 138(8), 923-930.
[15]-Li, M., Wang, H. and Wang, D., 2020, Risk Assessment of Gas Explosion in Coal Mines Based on Fuzzy AHP and Bayesian Network, Process Safety and Environmental Protection, 135, 207–218.
[16]-Liu, J., Quanxi, L., and Yuhan, W., 2013, Risk Analysis in Ultra Deep Scientific Drilling Project - A Fuzzy Synthetic Evaluation Approach, International Journal of Project Management, 31(3), 449–458.
[17]-Liu, X., and Jun, F., 2019, Risk Identification and Evaluation of Urban Underground Pipe Gallery PPP Project Based on Improved AHP,  International Conference on Construction and Real Estate Management, May 21–24, Banff, Alberta, Canada.
[18]-Serrano-Gomez, L., and Munoz-Hernandez, J. I., 2019, Monte Carlo Approach to Fuzzy AHP Risk Analysis in Renewable Energy Construction Projects, Plos One,14(6), 14-26.
[19]-Zhang, G. and Patrick, X. and Zou, W., 2010, Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process Risk Assessment Approach for Joint Venture Construction Projects in China, Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 136(6), 771-779.
[20]-Kuo, Y., C., and Tong Lu, S., 2013, Using Fuzzy Multiple Criteria Decision Making Approach to Enhance Risk Assessment for Metropolitan Construction Projects, International Journal of Project Management, 31(4), 602–614.
[21]- Zeng, J., Min, A., and John Smith, N., 2007, Application of a Fuzzy Based Decision Making Methodology to Construction Project Risk Assessment, International Journal of Project Management, 25(6), 589–600.
[22]- Sotoodeh Gohar, A., Khanzadi, M., Parchami, J., M., Shirzadi Javid, A. A., 2009, Construction Projerct Risk Assessment Based on Fuzzy AHP, 2009 IEEE Student Conference on Research and Development (SCOReD), Serdang, Malaysia.
[23]-IEEE Singapore Section, 2015, IEEE Technology and Engineering Management Society. Singapore Chapter, IEEE Technology and Engineering Management Society, Hong Kong Chapter, and Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers. IEEM 2015 : 2015 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management : 6-9 December 2015, Singapore.
[24]- Shiliang, S., Jiang, M., Liu, Y., and Li, R., 2012, Risk Assessment on Falling from Height Based on AHP-Fuzzy, In Procedia Engineering, Elsevier Ltd, 112–118.
[25]-Zhang, Y., Wang, R., Huang, P., and Wang, X., 2020, Risk Evaluation of Large-Scale Seawater Desalination Projects Based on an Integrated Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation and Analytic Hierarchy Process Method, Desalination, 478, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.desal.2019.114286
[26]-Ahmadi, M., Behzadian, K., Ardeshir, A., and Kapelan, Z., 2017, Comprehensive Risk Management Using Fuzzy FMEA and MCDA Techniques in Highway Construction Projects, Journal of Civil Engineering and Management, 23(2), 300–310.
[27]-Aminbakhsh, S., Gunduz, M., and Sonmez, R., 2013, Safety Risk Assessment Using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) during Planning and Budgeting of Construction Projects, Journal of Safety Research, 46, 99–105. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jsr.2013.05.003.
[28]-Abdelgawad, M., Robinson Fayek, A., 2010, Risk Management in the Construction Industry Using Combined Fuzzy FMEA and Fuzzy AHP, Journal of Construction Engineering and Management,  https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000210.
[29]- Sotoodeh Gohar, A., Khanzadi, M., Framani, M., 2012, Identifying and Evaluating Risks of Construction Projects in Fuzzy Environment A Case Study in Iranian Construction Industry, Indian journal of science and technology, 5(11), 3593-3602.
[30]-Peihong, C., and Wang, J., 2009, Application of a Fuzzy AHP Method to Risk Assessment of International Construction Projects, In Proceedings-2009 International Conference on Electronic Commerce and Business Intelligence, ECBI 2009, 459–462.
[31]-Nieto-Morote, A., and Ruz-Vila, F., 2011, A Fuzzy Approach to Construction Project Risk Assessment, International Journal of Project Management, 29(2), 220–231.
[32]- Xian, L., Hong, Al-Hussein, M., Lei, Z., and Ajweh, Z., Hong Xian, L., 2013, Risk Identification and Assessment of Modular Construction Utilizing Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Simulation, Canadian journal of civil engineering, doi:10.1139/cjce-2013-0013.
Advance Researches in Civil Engineering
Volume 3, Issue 3
September 2021
Pages 1-20

Files

Share

How to cite

Statistics